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Cake day: October 29th, 2024

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  • This is a bit of an idealistic take that arguably doesn’t reflect reality.

    A russian invasion would initially be small in the Baltic nations and follow a more expansionary route after that. Beyond direct military action, the overall approach would focus on exploiting corruption, complacency and cowardice [*] in Europe and the US.

    There is a solid chance that the Americans will exit. Their culture as it stands today is focused on business ventures, nihilism and corruption. A significant portion of Americans are too ignorant to contemplate geopolitical realities (even if it will affect them in the long term) and their civil society and professional administrative corps have been debased by years of corruption. How did the wunderkind, the magical black man of the American centre right, Barack Obama react to the annexation of Crimea? I believe it was something along the lines of “a small regional conflict of no real importance”.

    Hungary is de facto a russian satellite in the vein of Warsaw pact (but with a focus on corruption, plausible deniability and triangulation). Slovakia, Czechia and Austria have a large proportion of supporters of russian genocidal imperialism.

    Germany would sell out the Baltics, no question. We’ve seen this attitude with Schroder and Merkel. You could probably bribe Schroder to support anything with some cultural acceptability. Merkel is a committed supporter of russian genocidal imperialism. Even from retirement she is pushing russian narratives about how the full scale invasion is the fault of the Baltic nations and Poland.

    The Balts, the Scandinavians and the Poles would likely be willing to fight though. But their military alone is unlikely to be able to implement the scenario that you described. The approach used to take down the drone incursion in Poland suggests that they are not really ready (and the russians are).

    [*] When I say cowardice, I don’t mean in a polemical way (Hollywood movies, Saving Private Ryan), but in a practical manner. E.g. Refusal to arm Ukraine after 2014. Refusal to provide long range strike capability in the first 3 years of the full scale invasion. Scholz being afraid of sending tanks (!!!) to Ukraine. Real world issues, not only a person willing to fight.

    Europe as it stands today would find it extremely hard to push back the russians if the Americans exit (which I think will).




  • Horrible news. The solution is to drop American services (and to a lesser extent products).

    America is a profoundly corrupt society where both the far right and centre-right largely support corruption and criminality (do you think anything will be done to Facebook leadership for knowingly gaining $16 B is commissions for fraud in a single year alone? Of course not!).

    You can’t let a criminal group dictate ethics for you.


  • A federal bankruptcy judge said on Friday he will approve a restructuring plan for drugmaker Purdue Pharma that includes a $7.4 billion settlement resolving claims that it fueled the U.S. opioid epidemic through the sale of addictive pain medications like OxyContin.

    US is comically corrupt. What fucking settlement? This is a drug cartel just with styling of the American elite (i.e not like Sinaloa or CJNG).

    Thankfully there is a modicum of realization that America freedom posturing polemics are stupid and they don’t hold weight outside of propaganda throughout.